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EPISODE REVIEWS

Statistical Probabilities

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Airdate: Week of November 24th, 1997

Written by: Rene Echevarria (teleplay); Pam Pietroforte (story)

Directed by: Anson Williams

In short: Serious on several levels with a nice touch of humor, "Probabilities" manages to successfully tie both a very controversial issue and personal dilemma with the continuing war with the Dominion.

Summary: Dr Bashir is asked to help other adults who, like him, were genetically engineered, but were unfortunate victims of side effects coming from the process. Soon, these "mutants" take interest in the Dominion conflict and make some very interesting predictions for things to come.

Review:Perhaps I'm just pleasantly surprised following the weak "Resurrection," but I thought "Statistical Probabilities" was excellent. It managed to wrap intergalactic politics and humor together into a very personal story, something that's not easy to accomplish. And it did it so innocently. Five minutes into the show you had no idea it would end up where it did, with its galactic-sized implications. The premise on paper sounds ludicrous, but Echevarria gave it the right touch of quirkiness to make it *feel* like a historical sidenote, an asterisk in the history of the war that few in the Federation would have ever learned about it. Quite a treat.

The key to making the story believable was selling the believability of the original premise. Dr Bashir is a socially adjusted "mutant" (I thought mutants weren't by definition engineered.) who is out in the open. The "children" are adults like him who were engineered, but whose results weren't all positive. It makes a great deal of sense, almost too much. Had the episode held only to the first premise, it would have likely been a failure. Bashir learning to deal with rascally mutants would have grown old after 30 minutes. Having the war as a backdrop not only gave us great continuity, but also gave the show a punch it would not have otherwise had.

Most importantly, the patients seemed believable. Yes, it is a little easy to have each of the "mutants" act a certain way, but that makes it easier on the viewer and allows us to know each better. Besides, such extreme behaviors are not uncommon amongst people today with relatively similar problems. Their dialogue was hilarious, and for the most part their acting was fine. Contradictions, like Jack's disregard for Sarina when compared to his desire to save 900 billion lives, in a bizarre way make sense. Jack does whatever it takes to do what needs to be done, be it stopping the "noise" or saving lives. If Sarina's neck has to be broken or Dr Bashir knocked unconcious, so be it. All too logical.

Bringing everything into focus was Dr Bashir. His situation is a very hard one to be in. Yes, he's smart, and he knows it, but he's also often right, so people *should* listen to him. It's a most unusual situation, first hinted at in "A Time to Stand." He knows a certain thing must be done because on paper it is correct, yet beneath all that is the care and concern of a doctor. This buildup gave the story a realism, sense of personal drama. I felt like an actual person was wrestling with fate during the scene at the Dabo table. With all these heavy issues circling, we need an actual person to deal with them to make them seem real, and Echevarria accomplished that with Bashir. Without his decision, the dilemma of whether or not to turn the defense secrets over would have been a mere abstraction, and though certainly an interesting point to debate, it wouldn't quite have the same level of impact. Dr Bashir having to decide for himself that he must stand and fight the Dominion with his friends is an important statement as well as quite a character development.

The word "courage" popped up several times, so many times that it had to have been intentional, and I think it has a great deal of importance. What is courage? Facing the facts? Trying to fight fate, no matter what the cost? The show gave no answers to those questions, and I like that. It would almost be against the show's main idea to make such a large generalization. It is somewhat trite to say "Humans have facets to them that mere numbers cannot take into account." But they do, and that's what seperates us from being automatons. What I liked about it the most was that the end sequence didn't necessarily rest on some noble ideal, but Dr Bashir's sense of duty and Sarina's love for Jack - two rather plain things that make each of us human. It is these things that can't be calculated, and thought they seem irrelevant, they are what drive us to act the way we do.

The dinner party helped set us up for Bashir having to decide between his friends and the calculations by showing us how differently he and they saw the same issues. What I really enjoyed about the scene though was the fact the entire crew was together in a non-business setting, discussing real issues. It's scenes like this that set DS9 apart - people just giving their opinions about an uncomfortable issue. Worf may not have been very compromising, but that's Worf, and he gives his opinions. They're all correct from a certain point of view, since issues like these have no easy answers. This is all something Trek would not have done ten years ago, and it's one of the reasons I love DS9 so much.

We also got a good look at Captain Sisko. Even though his role was small, I was impressed with the man's determination. It wasn't blind obedience that made him think the way he did, but a desire to make sure everyone survived the war, and I admire that. Sisko Avery Brooks' acting just clicked in this show. All the strong gestures seemed called for here. Gotta hope Sisko gets to break some necks before it is over with.

It makes sense to have Chief O'Brien's view on things too, since he is Bashir's best friend, and once again he serves perfectly as the sort of Everyman who's keyed in on things but isn't treated that way by others. Maybe he did overreact to Bashir's statement, but it was the response that was needed to be shown to contrast how coldly Bashir viewed things. O'Brien manages to be funny without seeming unintelligent, and that's quite an accomplishment.

Damar is apparently in charge of Cardassia now. We didn't need the mutants to tell us he was in over his head. Weyoun was his usual smug self, this time whispering - or maybe shouting - behind the throne with flair. I got the creeps when he made mention to Damar about how expendable the Cardassian was, and I couldn't help but laugh when he mentioned how exciting playing cloak and dagger was. One diabolical son of a Founder. The only real stretch I found in the whole show was when the genuises essentially discerned Damar's background from his speech, but I suppose they had to tie the two stories together somehow. Good work here.

Problems? Really only minor ones. I thought something was amiss in all the mutant scenes, and looking back, I think it may have been the staging. That spacious room wasn't very conducive for antics between the four with Dr Bashir, and I think the scenes were hurt because of that. Something needed to be done to make the scenes in that room much more intimate and a lot less planned and on cue. I also felt that we needed a little bit more war talk after the last two shows. While we can deduce most of what's going on in the war from the show, I would still like to see more. I think if we saw the "900 billion" projections it might have helped. Hopefully, with at least the next two shows apparently focusing on the war, we'll have some more specifics.

So, overall, an hour well spent. The story has everything going for it - a personal dilemma, good continuity, more war developments, humor, and the return of out dear friend Weyoun. Isn't "Resurrection" that new Alien movie?

Some short takes:

Romulans! Good to see the writers have them on their mind!

Ketracel White! Good to see the writers have worked out the Dominion's supply problems.

Anyone else find it strange that leaders of major enemy powers are allowed to walk the station freely? I doubt that when Jiang Zemin of China visited the White House awhile back he got to have secret meetings in the Lincoln Bedroom. Well, maybe he did. :-)

More universal translator madness. Weyoun, speaking "Dominionese," is to us speaking English, but to himself he's not only speaking Dominionese, but his mouth is moving like he's speaking Dominionese too. Sigh.

Anyone else get the feeling that Jack had actually tossed someone out an airlock?

The 900 billion causalties deserves some scrutiny. Presumably they mean actual fatalities of Federation citizens. That seems high, but keep in mind that it is easy to destroy a world, and that is the fastest way to kill large numbers of people. The Federation has over 150 "member" worlds, which means, quite likely, that there are colony worlds that don't have membership status. These member worlds probably have native humanioid populations. Let's say Earth of the future has 15 billion people, certainly not a large leap of the imagination nor a threat to food or space limitations. 15 billion times 150 is 2.25 trillion, I think. Considering that the 15 billion figure is just an assumption, and that colony worlds must fit in the equation too, it is not beyond possibility that a devastating war could kill 900 billion people.

Writing:I think I've made it clear that I liked it

Acting:Siddig displayed true pomposity like only the nephew of Malcolm Macdowell could

Directing:Potsie needed to work on the staging. Aside from that, fair debut.

Rating:9.4 out of 10.0

Quote:"Tell me, doctor, what kind of enhancments did your parents have done to you?"

Lauren, asking Bashir about the genetically enhanced "package" he got

Next week:A rerun. Interesting idea for a murder mystery/ love story gone bad, but I really don't want to see Odo naked.

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